Who will Win the Election?

Here we go, the polls open in just hours. Millions of votes have already been cast. The polls have Obama up anywhere from 5-11 points going into election day. So who will win?

I again will reiterate, I am not part of the political establishment. I have no expertise. I just read what I can find and make my decisions.

I believe that this will be an election for the history books. I think McCain will win the election. Thats right, McCain will win. I am going against the polls, against the media.

Here's why I call it this way. The latest Rasmussen polls: We will look at several question.
Colorado -
1. Who would you vote for: Obama 51 McCain 47
2. Favorable/Unfavorable : Obama 54/45 McCain 57/41
3. Comfortable w/Obama Presidency: 56%
4. Comfortable w/McCain Presidency: 68%
5. If you had to make the toughest Decision who would you get advice from: McCain 48% Obama 45%

Florida-
1. Who would you vote for: McCain 50 Obama 49
2. Favorable/Unfavorable : Obama 52/48 McCain 60/39
3. Comfortable w/Obama Presidency: 55%
4. Comfortable w/McCain Presidency: 67%
5. If you had to make the toughest Decision who would you get advice from: McCain 51% Obama 46%

Missouri-
1. Who would you vote for: Obama 49 McCain 49
2. Favorable/Unfavorable : Obama 54/45 McCain 56/43
3. Comfortable w/Obama Presidency: 58%
4. Comfortable w/McCain Presidency: 65%
5. If you had to make the toughest Decision who would you get advice from: McCain 48% Obama 45%

North Carolina-
1. Who would you vote for: Obama 49 McCain 50
2. Favorable/Unfavorable : Obama 53/46 McCain 55/43
3. Comfortable w/Obama Presidency: 55%
4. Comfortable w/McCain Presidency: 61%
5. If you had to make the toughest Decision who would you get advice from: McCain 49% Obama 47%

Ohio-
1. Who would you vote for: Obama 49 McCain 49
2. Favorable/Unfavorable : Obama 50/48 McCain 57/39
3. Comfortable w/Obama Presidency: 54%
4. Comfortable w/McCain Presidency: 67%
5. If you had to make the toughest Decision who would you get advice from: McCain 50% Obama 44%

Virginia-
1. Who would you vote for: Obama 51 McCain 47
2. Favorable/Unfavorable : Obama 55/43 McCain 57/43
3. Comfortable w/Obama Presidency: 58%
4. Comfortable w/McCain Presidency: 64%
5. If you had to make the toughest Decision who would you get advice from: McCain 49% Obama 47%

When you really evaluate the polls, how in the world do you get more % to say they will vote for Obama, yet more of them view McCain Favorable and less unfavorable, and more would be more comfortable with him as President, More would want advice from him on the toughest decisions. The Math doesn't add up.

I think that McCain will sweep Florida, North Carolina, Indiana, Virginia, Ohio, Georgia, North Dakota, Montana, Missouri, and Arizona. All toss up states according to RCP. I think that he will make a stong bid for Pennsylvania and if he can win there it's over. If not, I think he can still grab Colorado and Nevada to put him over the top. Minnesota and New Mexico are still out there as well. The bad news would be if he only grabbed Colorado. That would be a whole new mess for us. I won't get into that right now.

I think it will be quite a remarkable election, and I will quite honestly be very surprised if McCain doesn't win. If the polls were actually right and Obama's team believed them, they wouldn't be fighting as hard as they are, especially in light of the sad news concerning Obama's Grandmother. Our prayers go out to him and his family.

Look forward to seeing how this works out.