A smart Democrat points out the most alarming number, to his party, in the poll of Virginia voters Survey USA released today.
It's not the top line, which has McDonnell up by 15 percentage points. It's what the pollster figures as the composition of the electorate: 52% McCain voters, 43% Obama voters.
Obama carried Virginia with 51% of the vote, so the pollster's data suggests that -- if voters are responding accurately to questions about their plans to vote in the governor's race -- the electorate that Obama activated -- young and African-American voters primarily -- will sink back into passivity in the off years. Black voters were 20% of the electorate last November; they're 17% in that survey.
There are two ways to read this: The poll's sample is off; or this is a danger sign for Democrats heading into the midterms,. If the latter, it may affect legislators' calculations about how closely to align themselves with the president. - Politico
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